Assicurazioni Generali (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 23.8
| ASG Stock | 27.07 0.08 0.30% |
Assicurazioni |
Assicurazioni Generali Target Price Odds to finish below 23.8
The tendency of Assicurazioni Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 23.80 or more in 90 days |
| 27.07 | 90 days | 23.80 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Assicurazioni Generali to drop to 23.80 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Assicurazioni Generali SpA probability density function shows the probability of Assicurazioni Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Assicurazioni Generali price to stay between 23.80 and its current price of 27.07 at the end of the 90-day period is about 72.2 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Assicurazioni Generali has a beta of 0.11. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Assicurazioni Generali average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Assicurazioni Generali SpA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Assicurazioni Generali SpA has an alpha of 0.0612, implying that it can generate a 0.0612 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Assicurazioni Generali Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Assicurazioni Generali
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Assicurazioni Generali. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Assicurazioni Generali's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Assicurazioni Generali Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Assicurazioni Generali is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Assicurazioni Generali's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Assicurazioni Generali SpA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Assicurazioni Generali within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.91 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Assicurazioni Generali Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Assicurazioni Generali for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Assicurazioni Generali can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Assicurazioni Generali Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Assicurazioni Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Assicurazioni Generali's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Assicurazioni Generali's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.6 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 357 B |
Assicurazioni Generali Technical Analysis
Assicurazioni Generali's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Assicurazioni Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Assicurazioni Generali SpA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Assicurazioni Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Assicurazioni Generali Predictive Forecast Models
Assicurazioni Generali's time-series forecasting models is one of many Assicurazioni Generali's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Assicurazioni Generali's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Assicurazioni Generali
Checking the ongoing alerts about Assicurazioni Generali for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Assicurazioni Generali help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Assicurazioni Stock Analysis
When running Assicurazioni Generali's price analysis, check to measure Assicurazioni Generali's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Assicurazioni Generali is operating at the current time. Most of Assicurazioni Generali's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Assicurazioni Generali's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Assicurazioni Generali's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Assicurazioni Generali to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.