Argentum Silver Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.05

ASL Stock  CAD 0.05  0.00  0.00%   
Argentum Silver's future price is the expected price of Argentum Silver instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Argentum Silver Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Argentum Silver Backtesting, Argentum Silver Valuation, Argentum Silver Correlation, Argentum Silver Hype Analysis, Argentum Silver Volatility, Argentum Silver History as well as Argentum Silver Performance.
  
Please specify Argentum Silver's target price for which you would like Argentum Silver odds to be computed.

Argentum Silver Target Price Odds to finish over 0.05

The tendency of Argentum Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.05 90 days 0.05 
about 50.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Argentum Silver to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 50.0 (This Argentum Silver Corp probability density function shows the probability of Argentum Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Argentum Silver Corp has a beta of -0.76. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Argentum Silver are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Argentum Silver Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Argentum Silver Corp has an alpha of 0.2557, implying that it can generate a 0.26 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Argentum Silver Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Argentum Silver

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Argentum Silver Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.054.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.044.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.0010.054.92
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.050.050.05
Details

Argentum Silver Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Argentum Silver is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Argentum Silver's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Argentum Silver Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Argentum Silver within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.26
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.76
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Argentum Silver Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Argentum Silver for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Argentum Silver Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Argentum Silver Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Argentum Silver Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Argentum Silver Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Argentum Silver Corp has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Argentum Silver Corp has accumulated 207.84 K in total debt. Argentum Silver Corp has a current ratio of 0.88, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Argentum Silver until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Argentum Silver's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Argentum Silver Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Argentum to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Argentum Silver's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (376.39 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Argentum Silver Corp has accumulated about 164.75 K in cash with (302.49 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 62.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Argentum Silver Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Argentum Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Argentum Silver's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Argentum Silver's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding51.6 M
Shares Float19.5 M

Argentum Silver Technical Analysis

Argentum Silver's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Argentum Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Argentum Silver Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Argentum Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Argentum Silver Predictive Forecast Models

Argentum Silver's time-series forecasting models is one of many Argentum Silver's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Argentum Silver's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Argentum Silver Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Argentum Silver for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Argentum Silver Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Argentum Silver Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Argentum Silver Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Argentum Silver Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Argentum Silver Corp has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Argentum Silver Corp has accumulated 207.84 K in total debt. Argentum Silver Corp has a current ratio of 0.88, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Argentum Silver until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Argentum Silver's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Argentum Silver Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Argentum to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Argentum Silver's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (376.39 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Argentum Silver Corp has accumulated about 164.75 K in cash with (302.49 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 62.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Argentum Stock Analysis

When running Argentum Silver's price analysis, check to measure Argentum Silver's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Argentum Silver is operating at the current time. Most of Argentum Silver's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Argentum Silver's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Argentum Silver's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Argentum Silver to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.