Alien Metals Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.0043
| ASLRF Stock | USD 0.0009 0 79.07% |
Alien |
Alien Metals Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0043
The tendency of Alien Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 0 after 90 days |
| 0.0009 | 90 days | 0 | about 66.4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alien Metals to stay under $ 0 after 90 days from now is about 66.4 (This Alien Metals probability density function shows the probability of Alien Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Alien Metals price to stay between its current price of $ 0.0009 and $ 0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 56.17 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 38.34 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Alien Metals will likely underperform. In addition to that Alien Metals has an alpha of 33.2557, implying that it can generate a 33.26 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Alien Metals Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Alien Metals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alien Metals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Alien Metals Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alien Metals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alien Metals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alien Metals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alien Metals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 33.26 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 38.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
Alien Metals Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alien Metals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alien Metals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Alien Metals is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Alien Metals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Alien Metals appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Net Loss for the year was (2.26 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Alien Metals has accumulated about 3.06 M in cash with (1.69 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Alien Metals Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Alien Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Alien Metals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alien Metals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.1 B |
Alien Metals Technical Analysis
Alien Metals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Alien Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Alien Metals. In general, you should focus on analyzing Alien Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Alien Metals Predictive Forecast Models
Alien Metals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Alien Metals' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Alien Metals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Alien Metals
Checking the ongoing alerts about Alien Metals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Alien Metals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Alien Metals is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Alien Metals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Alien Metals appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Net Loss for the year was (2.26 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Alien Metals has accumulated about 3.06 M in cash with (1.69 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Alien Pink Sheet
Alien Metals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alien Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alien with respect to the benefits of owning Alien Metals security.