Autoneum Holding (Switzerland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 121.22
| AUTN Stock | CHF 113.80 1.40 1.25% |
Autoneum |
Autoneum Holding Target Price Odds to finish over 121.22
The tendency of Autoneum Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over ₣ 121.22 or more in 90 days |
| 113.80 | 90 days | 121.22 | about 7.53 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Autoneum Holding to move over ₣ 121.22 or more in 90 days from now is about 7.53 (This Autoneum Holding AG probability density function shows the probability of Autoneum Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Autoneum Holding price to stay between its current price of ₣ 113.80 and ₣ 121.22 at the end of the 90-day period is about 31.37 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Autoneum Holding AG has a beta of -0.39. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Autoneum Holding are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Autoneum Holding AG is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Autoneum Holding AG has an alpha of 0.0221, implying that it can generate a 0.0221 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Autoneum Holding Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Autoneum Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Autoneum Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Autoneum Holding Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Autoneum Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Autoneum Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Autoneum Holding AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Autoneum Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.42 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Autoneum Holding Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Autoneum Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Autoneum Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Autoneum Holding has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 47.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Autoneum Holding Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Autoneum Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Autoneum Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Autoneum Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 103.8 M |
Autoneum Holding Technical Analysis
Autoneum Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Autoneum Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Autoneum Holding AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Autoneum Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Autoneum Holding Predictive Forecast Models
Autoneum Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many Autoneum Holding's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Autoneum Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Autoneum Holding
Checking the ongoing alerts about Autoneum Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Autoneum Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Autoneum Holding has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 47.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Autoneum Stock Analysis
When running Autoneum Holding's price analysis, check to measure Autoneum Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Autoneum Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Autoneum Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Autoneum Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Autoneum Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Autoneum Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.