Aydem Yenilenebilir (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 17.11
| AYDEM Stock | TRY 24.18 0.40 1.68% |
Aydem |
Aydem Yenilenebilir Target Price Odds to finish below 17.11
The tendency of Aydem Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 17.11 or more in 90 days |
| 24.18 | 90 days | 17.11 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aydem Yenilenebilir to drop to 17.11 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji probability density function shows the probability of Aydem Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aydem Yenilenebilir price to stay between 17.11 and its current price of 24.18 at the end of the 90-day period is about 36.28 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Aydem Yenilenebilir has a beta of 0.39. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Aydem Yenilenebilir average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Aydem Yenilenebilir Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aydem Yenilenebilir
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aydem Yenilenebilir. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Aydem Yenilenebilir Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aydem Yenilenebilir is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aydem Yenilenebilir's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aydem Yenilenebilir within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.80 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Aydem Yenilenebilir Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aydem Yenilenebilir for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aydem Yenilenebilir can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aydem Yenilenebilir generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Aydem Yenilenebilir has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji has accumulated 9.29 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.04, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Aydem Yenilenebilir has a current ratio of 0.22, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Aydem Yenilenebilir until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Aydem Yenilenebilir's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Aydem Yenilenebilir sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Aydem to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Aydem Yenilenebilir's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 1.24 B. Net Loss for the year was (120.29 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 512.92 M. | |
| About 84.0% of Aydem Yenilenebilir shares are held by company insiders |
Aydem Yenilenebilir Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aydem Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aydem Yenilenebilir's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aydem Yenilenebilir's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 705 M |
Aydem Yenilenebilir Technical Analysis
Aydem Yenilenebilir's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aydem Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aydem Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aydem Yenilenebilir Predictive Forecast Models
Aydem Yenilenebilir's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aydem Yenilenebilir's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aydem Yenilenebilir's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aydem Yenilenebilir
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aydem Yenilenebilir for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aydem Yenilenebilir help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Aydem Yenilenebilir generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Aydem Yenilenebilir has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji has accumulated 9.29 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.04, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Aydem Yenilenebilir has a current ratio of 0.22, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Aydem Yenilenebilir until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Aydem Yenilenebilir's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Aydem Yenilenebilir sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Aydem to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Aydem Yenilenebilir's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 1.24 B. Net Loss for the year was (120.29 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 512.92 M. | |
| About 84.0% of Aydem Yenilenebilir shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Aydem Stock
Aydem Yenilenebilir financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aydem Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aydem with respect to the benefits of owning Aydem Yenilenebilir security.