Bcm Resources Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 23.03

B Stock  CAD 0.05  0.01  16.67%   
BCM Resources' future price is the expected price of BCM Resources instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BCM Resources Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out BCM Resources Backtesting, BCM Resources Valuation, BCM Resources Correlation, BCM Resources Hype Analysis, BCM Resources Volatility, BCM Resources History as well as BCM Resources Performance.
  
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BCM Resources Target Price Odds to finish over 23.03

The tendency of BCM Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over C$ 23.03  or more in 90 days
 0.05 90 days 23.03 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BCM Resources to move over C$ 23.03  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This BCM Resources Corp probability density function shows the probability of BCM Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BCM Resources Corp price to stay between its current price of C$ 0.05  and C$ 23.03  at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.24 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.7 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, BCM Resources will likely underperform. Additionally BCM Resources Corp has an alpha of 0.1142, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   BCM Resources Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BCM Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BCM Resources Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.057.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.047.75
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00090.047.76
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.030.050.06
Details

BCM Resources Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BCM Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BCM Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BCM Resources Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BCM Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.70
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

BCM Resources Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BCM Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BCM Resources Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BCM Resources Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
BCM Resources Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Reported Net Loss for the year was (1.85 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (21.49 K).
BCM Resources Corp has about 775.63 K in cash with (302.57 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Latest headline from news.google.com: 3 TSX Penny Stocks With Market Caps Under CA40M - Yahoo Finance

BCM Resources Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BCM Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BCM Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BCM Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding184.3 M

BCM Resources Technical Analysis

BCM Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BCM Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BCM Resources Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing BCM Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

BCM Resources Predictive Forecast Models

BCM Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many BCM Resources' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BCM Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about BCM Resources Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about BCM Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BCM Resources Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BCM Resources Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
BCM Resources Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Reported Net Loss for the year was (1.85 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (21.49 K).
BCM Resources Corp has about 775.63 K in cash with (302.57 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Latest headline from news.google.com: 3 TSX Penny Stocks With Market Caps Under CA40M - Yahoo Finance

Additional Tools for BCM Stock Analysis

When running BCM Resources' price analysis, check to measure BCM Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BCM Resources is operating at the current time. Most of BCM Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BCM Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BCM Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BCM Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.