Braskem Sa Class Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.1
| BAK Stock | USD 3.80 0.04 1.04% |
Braskem |
Braskem SA Target Price Odds to finish over 5.1
The tendency of Braskem Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 5.10 or more in 90 days |
| 3.80 | 90 days | 5.10 | about 70.93 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Braskem SA to move over $ 5.10 or more in 90 days from now is about 70.93 (This Braskem SA Class probability density function shows the probability of Braskem Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Braskem SA Class price to stay between its current price of $ 3.80 and $ 5.10 at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.2 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Braskem SA has a beta of 0.22 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Braskem SA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Braskem SA Class will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Braskem SA Class has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Braskem SA Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Braskem SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Braskem SA Class. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Braskem SA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Braskem SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Braskem SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Braskem SA Class, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Braskem SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.98 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.36 |
Braskem SA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Braskem SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Braskem SA Class can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Braskem SA Class generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 70.57 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (4.58 B) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 32.03 B. | |
| Braskem SA Class has about 6.39 B in cash with (2.27 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 35.74, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Braskem SA Class has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Braskem SA announces audit committee changes |
Braskem SA Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Braskem Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Braskem SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Braskem SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 796.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 19.1 B |
Braskem SA Technical Analysis
Braskem SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Braskem Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Braskem SA Class. In general, you should focus on analyzing Braskem Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Braskem SA Predictive Forecast Models
Braskem SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many Braskem SA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Braskem SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Braskem SA Class
Checking the ongoing alerts about Braskem SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Braskem SA Class help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Braskem SA Class generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 70.57 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (4.58 B) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 32.03 B. | |
| Braskem SA Class has about 6.39 B in cash with (2.27 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 35.74, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Braskem SA Class has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Braskem SA announces audit committee changes |
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Is Commodity Chemicals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Braskem SA. If investors know Braskem will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Braskem SA listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.95) | Earnings Share (3.95) | Revenue Per Share 177.152 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.275 | Return On Assets 0.024 |
The market value of Braskem SA Class is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Braskem that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Braskem SA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Braskem SA's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Braskem SA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Braskem SA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Braskem SA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Braskem SA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Braskem SA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.