Bangkok Chain (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 20.83

BCH-R Stock  THB 15.40  0.02  0.13%   
Bangkok Chain's future price is the expected price of Bangkok Chain instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bangkok Chain Hospital performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bangkok Chain Backtesting, Bangkok Chain Valuation, Bangkok Chain Correlation, Bangkok Chain Hype Analysis, Bangkok Chain Volatility, Bangkok Chain History as well as Bangkok Chain Performance.
  
Please specify Bangkok Chain's target price for which you would like Bangkok Chain odds to be computed.

Bangkok Chain Target Price Odds to finish over 20.83

The tendency of Bangkok Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  20.83  or more in 90 days
 15.40 90 days 20.83 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bangkok Chain to move over  20.83  or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Bangkok Chain Hospital probability density function shows the probability of Bangkok Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bangkok Chain Hospital price to stay between its current price of  15.40  and  20.83  at the end of the 90-day period is about 69.92 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bangkok Chain Hospital has a beta of -0.0243 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Bangkok Chain are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Bangkok Chain Hospital is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Bangkok Chain Hospital has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Bangkok Chain Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bangkok Chain

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bangkok Chain Hospital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.7715.401,555
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.7915.711,556
Details

Bangkok Chain Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bangkok Chain is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bangkok Chain's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bangkok Chain Hospital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bangkok Chain within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.02
σ
Overall volatility
2.26
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Bangkok Chain Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bangkok Chain for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bangkok Chain Hospital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bangkok Chain is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Bangkok Chain appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Bangkok Chain Hospital has accumulated 3.98 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.93, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Bangkok Chain Hospital has a current ratio of 0.69, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Bangkok Chain until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Bangkok Chain's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Bangkok Chain Hospital sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Bangkok to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Bangkok Chain's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Bangkok Chain Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bangkok Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bangkok Chain's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bangkok Chain's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.5 B

Bangkok Chain Technical Analysis

Bangkok Chain's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bangkok Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bangkok Chain Hospital. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bangkok Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bangkok Chain Predictive Forecast Models

Bangkok Chain's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bangkok Chain's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bangkok Chain's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bangkok Chain Hospital

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bangkok Chain for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bangkok Chain Hospital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bangkok Chain is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Bangkok Chain appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Bangkok Chain Hospital has accumulated 3.98 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.93, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Bangkok Chain Hospital has a current ratio of 0.69, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Bangkok Chain until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Bangkok Chain's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Bangkok Chain Hospital sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Bangkok to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Bangkok Chain's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Other Information on Investing in Bangkok Stock

Bangkok Chain financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bangkok Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bangkok with respect to the benefits of owning Bangkok Chain security.