Berjaya Philippines (Philippines) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 7.8
| BCOR Stock | 9.28 0.22 2.32% |
Berjaya |
Berjaya Philippines Target Price Odds to finish over 7.8
The tendency of Berjaya Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 7.80 in 90 days |
| 9.28 | 90 days | 7.80 | about 49.52 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Berjaya Philippines to stay above 7.80 in 90 days from now is about 49.52 (This Berjaya Philippines probability density function shows the probability of Berjaya Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Berjaya Philippines price to stay between 7.80 and its current price of 9.28 at the end of the 90-day period is about 45.89 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Berjaya Philippines has a beta of -2.55 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Berjaya Philippines are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Berjaya Philippines is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Berjaya Philippines has an alpha of 0.6455, implying that it can generate a 0.65 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Berjaya Philippines Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Berjaya Philippines
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Berjaya Philippines. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Berjaya Philippines Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Berjaya Philippines is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Berjaya Philippines' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Berjaya Philippines, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Berjaya Philippines within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.65 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -2.55 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.83 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Berjaya Philippines Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Berjaya Philippines for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Berjaya Philippines can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Berjaya Philippines is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Berjaya Philippines appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
Berjaya Philippines Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Berjaya Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Berjaya Philippines' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Berjaya Philippines' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.7 B |
Berjaya Philippines Technical Analysis
Berjaya Philippines' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Berjaya Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Berjaya Philippines. In general, you should focus on analyzing Berjaya Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Berjaya Philippines Predictive Forecast Models
Berjaya Philippines' time-series forecasting models is one of many Berjaya Philippines' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Berjaya Philippines' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Berjaya Philippines
Checking the ongoing alerts about Berjaya Philippines for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Berjaya Philippines help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Berjaya Philippines is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Berjaya Philippines appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
Additional Tools for Berjaya Stock Analysis
When running Berjaya Philippines' price analysis, check to measure Berjaya Philippines' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Berjaya Philippines is operating at the current time. Most of Berjaya Philippines' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Berjaya Philippines' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Berjaya Philippines' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Berjaya Philippines to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.