Bannerman Resources (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.56

BH6 Stock  EUR 1.59  0.01  0.63%   
Bannerman Resources' future price is the expected price of Bannerman Resources instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bannerman Resources Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bannerman Resources Backtesting, Bannerman Resources Valuation, Bannerman Resources Correlation, Bannerman Resources Hype Analysis, Bannerman Resources Volatility, Bannerman Resources History as well as Bannerman Resources Performance.
  
Please specify Bannerman Resources' target price for which you would like Bannerman Resources odds to be computed.

Bannerman Resources Target Price Odds to finish over 1.56

The tendency of Bannerman Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 1.56  in 90 days
 1.59 90 days 1.56 
about 92.1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bannerman Resources to stay above € 1.56  in 90 days from now is about 92.1 (This Bannerman Resources Limited probability density function shows the probability of Bannerman Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bannerman Resources price to stay between € 1.56  and its current price of €1.59 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.93 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Bannerman Resources has a beta of 0.16 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bannerman Resources average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bannerman Resources Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bannerman Resources Limited has an alpha of 0.1774, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Bannerman Resources Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bannerman Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bannerman Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.605.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.414.82
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.615.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.591.681.77
Details

Bannerman Resources Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bannerman Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bannerman Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bannerman Resources Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bannerman Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.16
σ
Overall volatility
0.17
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Bannerman Resources Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bannerman Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bannerman Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bannerman Resources generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Bannerman Resources may become a speculative penny stock
Bannerman Resources has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Bannerman Resources has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 99 K. Net Loss for the year was (3.45 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 68 K.
Bannerman Resources Limited has accumulated about 51.93 M in cash with (2.19 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.35.

Bannerman Resources Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bannerman Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bannerman Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bannerman Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding148.8 M

Bannerman Resources Technical Analysis

Bannerman Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bannerman Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bannerman Resources Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bannerman Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bannerman Resources Predictive Forecast Models

Bannerman Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Bannerman Resources' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bannerman Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bannerman Resources

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bannerman Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bannerman Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bannerman Resources generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Bannerman Resources may become a speculative penny stock
Bannerman Resources has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Bannerman Resources has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 99 K. Net Loss for the year was (3.45 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 68 K.
Bannerman Resources Limited has accumulated about 51.93 M in cash with (2.19 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.35.

Other Information on Investing in Bannerman Stock

Bannerman Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bannerman Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bannerman with respect to the benefits of owning Bannerman Resources security.