Burgenland Holding (Austria) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 73.5
| BHD Stock | EUR 70.00 2.00 2.78% |
Burgenland |
Burgenland Holding Target Price Odds to finish over 73.5
The tendency of Burgenland Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 73.50 or more in 90 days |
| 70.00 | 90 days | 73.50 | about 16.31 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Burgenland Holding to move over € 73.50 or more in 90 days from now is about 16.31 (This Burgenland Holding Aktiengesellschaft probability density function shows the probability of Burgenland Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Burgenland Holding price to stay between its current price of € 70.00 and € 73.50 at the end of the 90-day period is about 71.22 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Burgenland Holding Aktiengesellschaft has a beta of -0.17 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Burgenland Holding are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Burgenland Holding Aktiengesellschaft is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Burgenland Holding Aktiengesellschaft has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Burgenland Holding Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Burgenland Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Burgenland Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Burgenland Holding Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Burgenland Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Burgenland Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Burgenland Holding Aktiengesellschaft, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Burgenland Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.64 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
Burgenland Holding Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Burgenland Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Burgenland Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Burgenland Holding generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 90.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Burgenland Holding Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Burgenland Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Burgenland Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Burgenland Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3 M |
Burgenland Holding Technical Analysis
Burgenland Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Burgenland Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Burgenland Holding Aktiengesellschaft. In general, you should focus on analyzing Burgenland Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Burgenland Holding Predictive Forecast Models
Burgenland Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many Burgenland Holding's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Burgenland Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Burgenland Holding
Checking the ongoing alerts about Burgenland Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Burgenland Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Burgenland Holding generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 90.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Burgenland Stock
Burgenland Holding financial ratios help investors to determine whether Burgenland Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Burgenland with respect to the benefits of owning Burgenland Holding security.