Bloomberry Resorts (Philippines) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 7.61

BLOOM Stock   4.50  0.01  0.22%   
Bloomberry Resorts' future price is the expected price of Bloomberry Resorts instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bloomberry Resorts Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bloomberry Resorts Backtesting, Bloomberry Resorts Valuation, Bloomberry Resorts Correlation, Bloomberry Resorts Hype Analysis, Bloomberry Resorts Volatility, Bloomberry Resorts History as well as Bloomberry Resorts Performance.
  
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Bloomberry Resorts Target Price Odds to finish over 7.61

The tendency of Bloomberry Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  7.61  or more in 90 days
 4.50 90 days 7.61 
about 27.32
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bloomberry Resorts to move over  7.61  or more in 90 days from now is about 27.32 (This Bloomberry Resorts Corp probability density function shows the probability of Bloomberry Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bloomberry Resorts Corp price to stay between its current price of  4.50  and  7.61  at the end of the 90-day period is about 68.84 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bloomberry Resorts has a beta of 0.24 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bloomberry Resorts average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bloomberry Resorts Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bloomberry Resorts Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Bloomberry Resorts Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bloomberry Resorts

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bloomberry Resorts Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.094.496.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.914.316.71
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.604.006.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.404.574.75
Details

Bloomberry Resorts Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bloomberry Resorts is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bloomberry Resorts' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bloomberry Resorts Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bloomberry Resorts within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.94
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.24
σ
Overall volatility
1.31
Ir
Information ratio -0.4

Bloomberry Resorts Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bloomberry Resorts for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bloomberry Resorts Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bloomberry Resorts generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Bloomberry Resorts has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 21.97 B. Net Loss for the year was (4.25 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.

Bloomberry Resorts Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bloomberry Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bloomberry Resorts' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bloomberry Resorts' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding10.9 B
Cash And Short Term Investments21 B

Bloomberry Resorts Technical Analysis

Bloomberry Resorts' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bloomberry Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bloomberry Resorts Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bloomberry Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bloomberry Resorts Predictive Forecast Models

Bloomberry Resorts' time-series forecasting models is one of many Bloomberry Resorts' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bloomberry Resorts' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bloomberry Resorts Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bloomberry Resorts for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bloomberry Resorts Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bloomberry Resorts generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Bloomberry Resorts has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 21.97 B. Net Loss for the year was (4.25 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.

Additional Tools for Bloomberry Stock Analysis

When running Bloomberry Resorts' price analysis, check to measure Bloomberry Resorts' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bloomberry Resorts is operating at the current time. Most of Bloomberry Resorts' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bloomberry Resorts' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bloomberry Resorts' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bloomberry Resorts to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.