Byggma (Norway) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 26.58

BMA Stock  NOK 15.05  0.15  0.99%   
Byggma's future price is the expected price of Byggma instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Byggma performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Byggma Backtesting, Byggma Valuation, Byggma Correlation, Byggma Hype Analysis, Byggma Volatility, Byggma History as well as Byggma Performance.
  
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Byggma Target Price Odds to finish over 26.58

The tendency of Byggma Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  26.58  or more in 90 days
 15.05 90 days 26.58 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Byggma to move over  26.58  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Byggma probability density function shows the probability of Byggma Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Byggma price to stay between its current price of  15.05  and  26.58  at the end of the 90-day period is about 87.18 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Byggma has a beta of 0.29 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Byggma average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Byggma will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Byggma has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Byggma Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Byggma

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Byggma. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.6915.0518.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.5812.9416.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.9314.3017.66
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.2115.4419.66
Details

Byggma Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Byggma is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Byggma's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Byggma, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Byggma within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.29
σ
Overall volatility
0.89
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Byggma Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Byggma for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Byggma can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Byggma generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Byggma has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 94.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Byggma Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Byggma Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Byggma's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Byggma's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding79.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments53.3 M

Byggma Technical Analysis

Byggma's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Byggma Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Byggma. In general, you should focus on analyzing Byggma Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Byggma Predictive Forecast Models

Byggma's time-series forecasting models is one of many Byggma's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Byggma's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Byggma

Checking the ongoing alerts about Byggma for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Byggma help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Byggma generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Byggma has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 94.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Byggma Stock

Byggma financial ratios help investors to determine whether Byggma Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Byggma with respect to the benefits of owning Byggma security.