PT Bayan (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.61

BNB Stock  EUR 1.22  0.03  2.52%   
PT Bayan's future price is the expected price of PT Bayan instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of PT Bayan Resources performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out PT Bayan Backtesting, PT Bayan Valuation, PT Bayan Correlation, PT Bayan Hype Analysis, PT Bayan Volatility, PT Bayan History as well as PT Bayan Performance.
  
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PT Bayan Target Price Odds to finish over 10.61

The tendency of BNB Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 10.61  or more in 90 days
 1.22 90 days 10.61 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PT Bayan to move over € 10.61  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This PT Bayan Resources probability density function shows the probability of BNB Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PT Bayan Resources price to stay between its current price of € 1.22  and € 10.61  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.93 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon PT Bayan Resources has a beta of -0.55 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding PT Bayan are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, PT Bayan Resources is likely to outperform the market. Additionally PT Bayan Resources has an alpha of 0.4659, implying that it can generate a 0.47 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   PT Bayan Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for PT Bayan

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PT Bayan Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.224.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.050.964.17
Details

PT Bayan Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PT Bayan is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PT Bayan's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PT Bayan Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PT Bayan within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.47
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.55
σ
Overall volatility
0.09
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

PT Bayan Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PT Bayan for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PT Bayan Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PT Bayan Resources may become a speculative penny stock
PT Bayan Resources had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company has a current ratio of 0.96, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist PT Bayan until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, PT Bayan's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like PT Bayan Resources sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for BNB to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about PT Bayan's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 77.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

PT Bayan Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BNB Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PT Bayan's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PT Bayan's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.3 B

PT Bayan Technical Analysis

PT Bayan's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BNB Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PT Bayan Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing BNB Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

PT Bayan Predictive Forecast Models

PT Bayan's time-series forecasting models is one of many PT Bayan's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PT Bayan's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about PT Bayan Resources

Checking the ongoing alerts about PT Bayan for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PT Bayan Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PT Bayan Resources may become a speculative penny stock
PT Bayan Resources had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company has a current ratio of 0.96, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist PT Bayan until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, PT Bayan's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like PT Bayan Resources sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for BNB to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about PT Bayan's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 77.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in BNB Stock

PT Bayan financial ratios help investors to determine whether BNB Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BNB with respect to the benefits of owning PT Bayan security.