Brixmor Property (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 24.98

BXR Stock  EUR 26.20  0.20  0.77%   
Brixmor Property's future price is the expected price of Brixmor Property instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Brixmor Property Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Brixmor Property Backtesting, Brixmor Property Valuation, Brixmor Property Correlation, Brixmor Property Hype Analysis, Brixmor Property Volatility, Brixmor Property History as well as Brixmor Property Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Brixmor Stock please use our How to Invest in Brixmor Property guide.
  
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Brixmor Property Target Price Odds to finish below 24.98

The tendency of Brixmor Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 24.98  or more in 90 days
 26.20 90 days 24.98 
about 19.28
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Brixmor Property to drop to € 24.98  or more in 90 days from now is about 19.28 (This Brixmor Property Group probability density function shows the probability of Brixmor Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Brixmor Property price to stay between € 24.98  and its current price of €26.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.74 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Brixmor Property has a beta of 0.23 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Brixmor Property average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Brixmor Property Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Brixmor Property Group has an alpha of 0.1043, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Brixmor Property Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Brixmor Property

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Brixmor Property. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.9826.2027.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.1326.3527.57
Details

Brixmor Property Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Brixmor Property is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Brixmor Property's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Brixmor Property Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Brixmor Property within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.10
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.23
σ
Overall volatility
1.45
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Brixmor Property Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Brixmor Property for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Brixmor Property can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Brixmor Property has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Brixmor Property Group has accumulated 4.62 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 176.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Brixmor Property has a current ratio of 0.79, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Brixmor Property until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Brixmor Property's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Brixmor Property sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Brixmor to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Brixmor Property's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 99.0% of Brixmor Property shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Brixmor Property Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Brixmor Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Brixmor Property's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Brixmor Property's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding299.9 M

Brixmor Property Technical Analysis

Brixmor Property's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Brixmor Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Brixmor Property Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Brixmor Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Brixmor Property Predictive Forecast Models

Brixmor Property's time-series forecasting models is one of many Brixmor Property's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Brixmor Property's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Brixmor Property

Checking the ongoing alerts about Brixmor Property for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Brixmor Property help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Brixmor Property has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Brixmor Property Group has accumulated 4.62 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 176.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Brixmor Property has a current ratio of 0.79, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Brixmor Property until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Brixmor Property's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Brixmor Property sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Brixmor to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Brixmor Property's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 99.0% of Brixmor Property shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Other Information on Investing in Brixmor Stock

Brixmor Property financial ratios help investors to determine whether Brixmor Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Brixmor with respect to the benefits of owning Brixmor Property security.