Crown Castle (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 124.10
| C1CI34 Stock | BRL 139.44 0.28 0.20% |
Crown |
Crown Castle Target Price Odds to finish below 124.10
The tendency of Crown Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to R$ 124.10 or more in 90 days |
| 139.44 | 90 days | 124.10 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Crown Castle to drop to R$ 124.10 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Crown Castle International probability density function shows the probability of Crown Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Crown Castle Interna price to stay between R$ 124.10 and its current price of R$139.44 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.55 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Crown Castle has a beta of 0.0673 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Crown Castle average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Crown Castle International will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Crown Castle International has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Crown Castle Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Crown Castle
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Crown Castle Interna. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Crown Castle Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Crown Castle is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Crown Castle's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Crown Castle International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Crown Castle within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Crown Castle Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Crown Castle for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Crown Castle Interna can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Crown Castle Interna generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Crown Castle Interna has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Crown Castle International has accumulated 20.56 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 3.03, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Crown Castle Interna has a current ratio of 0.65, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Crown Castle until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Crown Castle's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Crown Castle Interna sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Crown to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Crown Castle's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Crown Castle Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Crown Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Crown Castle's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Crown Castle's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 432 M |
Crown Castle Technical Analysis
Crown Castle's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Crown Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Crown Castle International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Crown Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Crown Castle Predictive Forecast Models
Crown Castle's time-series forecasting models is one of many Crown Castle's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Crown Castle's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Crown Castle Interna
Checking the ongoing alerts about Crown Castle for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Crown Castle Interna help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Crown Castle Interna generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Crown Castle Interna has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Crown Castle International has accumulated 20.56 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 3.03, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Crown Castle Interna has a current ratio of 0.65, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Crown Castle until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Crown Castle's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Crown Castle Interna sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Crown to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Crown Castle's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Other Information on Investing in Crown Stock
Crown Castle financial ratios help investors to determine whether Crown Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Crown with respect to the benefits of owning Crown Castle security.