Continental (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 107.33
| CAL Stock | EUR 110.00 2.00 1.85% |
Continental |
Continental Target Price Odds to finish below 107.33
The tendency of Continental Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 107.33 or more in 90 days |
| 110.00 | 90 days | 107.33 | about 15.24 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Continental to drop to € 107.33 or more in 90 days from now is about 15.24 (This Camden Property Trust probability density function shows the probability of Continental Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Camden Property Trust price to stay between € 107.33 and its current price of €110.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.93 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Continental has a beta of 0.23 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Continental average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Camden Property Trust will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Camden Property Trust has an alpha of 0.0061, implying that it can generate a 0.00611 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Continental Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Continental
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Camden Property Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Continental Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Continental is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Continental's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Camden Property Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Continental within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.45 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0092 |
Continental Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Continental for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Camden Property Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Continental generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company has €3.68 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| Camden Property Trust has accumulated 3.68 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 67.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Camden Property Trust has a current ratio of 0.69, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Continental until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Continental's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Camden Property Trust sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Continental to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Continental's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 99.0% of Continental shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Continental Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Continental Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Continental's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Continental's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 106.5 M |
Continental Technical Analysis
Continental's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Continental Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Camden Property Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing Continental Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Continental Predictive Forecast Models
Continental's time-series forecasting models is one of many Continental's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Continental's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Camden Property Trust
Checking the ongoing alerts about Continental for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Camden Property Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Continental generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company has €3.68 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| Camden Property Trust has accumulated 3.68 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 67.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Camden Property Trust has a current ratio of 0.69, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Continental until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Continental's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Camden Property Trust sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Continental to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Continental's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 99.0% of Continental shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Continental Stock
When determining whether Camden Property Trust is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Continental Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Camden Property Trust Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Camden Property Trust Stock:Check out Continental Backtesting, Continental Valuation, Continental Correlation, Continental Hype Analysis, Continental Volatility, Continental History as well as Continental Performance. You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.