Capitol Nusantara (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 39.19
| CANI Stock | IDR 50.00 1.00 2.04% |
Capitol |
Capitol Nusantara Target Price Odds to finish below 39.19
The tendency of Capitol Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 39.19 or more in 90 days |
| 50.00 | 90 days | 39.19 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Capitol Nusantara to drop to 39.19 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Capitol Nusantara Indonesia probability density function shows the probability of Capitol Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Capitol Nusantara price to stay between 39.19 and its current price of 50.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 52.92 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Capitol Nusantara has a beta of 0.27 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Capitol Nusantara average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Capitol Nusantara Indonesia will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Capitol Nusantara Indonesia has an alpha of 0.176, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Capitol Nusantara Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Capitol Nusantara
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Capitol Nusantara. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Capitol Nusantara Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Capitol Nusantara is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Capitol Nusantara's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Capitol Nusantara Indonesia, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Capitol Nusantara within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.62 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Capitol Nusantara Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Capitol Nusantara for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Capitol Nusantara can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Capitol Nusantara had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Capitol Nusantara has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 3.05 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.93 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (2.84 M). | |
| Capitol Nusantara generates negative cash flow from operations |
Capitol Nusantara Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Capitol Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Capitol Nusantara's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Capitol Nusantara's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 833.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 M |
Capitol Nusantara Technical Analysis
Capitol Nusantara's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Capitol Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Capitol Nusantara Indonesia. In general, you should focus on analyzing Capitol Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Capitol Nusantara Predictive Forecast Models
Capitol Nusantara's time-series forecasting models is one of many Capitol Nusantara's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Capitol Nusantara's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Capitol Nusantara
Checking the ongoing alerts about Capitol Nusantara for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Capitol Nusantara help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Capitol Nusantara had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Capitol Nusantara has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 3.05 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.93 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (2.84 M). | |
| Capitol Nusantara generates negative cash flow from operations |
Other Information on Investing in Capitol Stock
Capitol Nusantara financial ratios help investors to determine whether Capitol Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Capitol with respect to the benefits of owning Capitol Nusantara security.