Consol Energy Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 117.11
| CEIX Stock | USD 102.98 0.71 0.68% |
Consol |
Consol Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 117.11
The tendency of Consol Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 117.11 or more in 90 days |
| 102.98 | 90 days | 117.11 | about 39.23 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Consol Energy to move over $ 117.11 or more in 90 days from now is about 39.23 (This Consol Energy probability density function shows the probability of Consol Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Consol Energy price to stay between its current price of $ 102.98 and $ 117.11 at the end of the 90-day period is about 46.47 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.6 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Consol Energy will likely underperform. Additionally Consol Energy has an alpha of 0.0775, implying that it can generate a 0.0775 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Consol Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Consol Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Consol Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Consol Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Consol Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Consol Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Consol Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Consol Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.60 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 10.54 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Consol Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Consol Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Consol Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Consol Energy is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Consol Energy currently holds 212.33 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.66, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Consol Energy has a current ratio of 0.92, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Consol Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Consol Energy has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 91.0% of Consol Energy shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Wellington Management Group LLP Acquires 8,548 Shares of CONSOL Energy Inc. - MarketBeat |
Consol Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Consol Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Consol Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Consol Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 33.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 281.3 M |
Consol Energy Technical Analysis
Consol Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Consol Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Consol Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Consol Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Consol Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Consol Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Consol Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Consol Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Consol Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about Consol Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Consol Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Consol Energy is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Consol Energy currently holds 212.33 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.66, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Consol Energy has a current ratio of 0.92, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Consol Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Consol Energy has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 91.0% of Consol Energy shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Wellington Management Group LLP Acquires 8,548 Shares of CONSOL Energy Inc. - MarketBeat |
Additional Tools for Consol Stock Analysis
When running Consol Energy's price analysis, check to measure Consol Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Consol Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Consol Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Consol Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Consol Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Consol Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.