Chalice Brands Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 13.89
Chalice Brands' future price is the expected price of Chalice Brands instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Chalice Brands performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Chalice Brands Backtesting, Chalice Brands Valuation, Chalice Brands Correlation, Chalice Brands Hype Analysis, Chalice Brands Volatility, Chalice Brands History as well as Chalice Brands Performance.
Please specify Chalice Brands' target price for which you would like Chalice Brands odds to be computed.
Chalice |
Chalice Brands Target Price Odds to finish over 13.89
The tendency of Chalice Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 13.89 or more in 90 days |
| 0.00 | 90 days | 13.89 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Chalice Brands to move over $ 13.89 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Chalice Brands probability density function shows the probability of Chalice Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Chalice Brands price to stay between its current price of $ 0.00 and $ 13.89 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Chalice Brands has a beta of -1.01 suggesting Additionally Chalice Brands has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Chalice Brands Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Chalice Brands
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chalice Brands. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Chalice Brands Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Chalice Brands is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Chalice Brands' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Chalice Brands, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Chalice Brands within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.68 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.000097 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Chalice Brands Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Chalice Brands for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Chalice Brands can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Chalice Brands generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Chalice Brands has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Chalice Brands has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Chalice Brands has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Chalice Brands has accumulated 6.8 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.69, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Chalice Brands has a current ratio of 0.6, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Chalice Brands until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Chalice Brands' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Chalice Brands sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Chalice to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Chalice Brands' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 21.91 M. Net Loss for the year was (10.03 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.76 M. | |
| Chalice Brands has accumulated about 741.17 K in cash with (1.46 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01. | |
| Roughly 21.0% of Chalice Brands shares are held by company insiders |
Chalice Brands Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Chalice Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Chalice Brands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chalice Brands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 38 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 905.1 K |
Chalice Brands Technical Analysis
Chalice Brands' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Chalice Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Chalice Brands. In general, you should focus on analyzing Chalice Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Chalice Brands Predictive Forecast Models
Chalice Brands' time-series forecasting models is one of many Chalice Brands' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Chalice Brands' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Chalice Brands
Checking the ongoing alerts about Chalice Brands for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Chalice Brands help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Chalice Brands generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Chalice Brands has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Chalice Brands has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Chalice Brands has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Chalice Brands has accumulated 6.8 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.69, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Chalice Brands has a current ratio of 0.6, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Chalice Brands until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Chalice Brands' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Chalice Brands sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Chalice to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Chalice Brands' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 21.91 M. Net Loss for the year was (10.03 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.76 M. | |
| Chalice Brands has accumulated about 741.17 K in cash with (1.46 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01. | |
| Roughly 21.0% of Chalice Brands shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Chalice Pink Sheet
Chalice Brands financial ratios help investors to determine whether Chalice Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Chalice with respect to the benefits of owning Chalice Brands security.