Calbee Inc Stock Chance of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 18.10

CLBEY Stock  USD 4.97  0.20  3.87%   
Calbee's future price is the expected price of Calbee instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Calbee Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Calbee Backtesting, Calbee Valuation, Calbee Correlation, Calbee Hype Analysis, Calbee Volatility, Calbee History as well as Calbee Performance.
  
Please specify Calbee's target price for which you would like Calbee odds to be computed.

Calbee Target Price Odds to finish over 18.10

The tendency of Calbee Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 18.10  or more in 90 days
 4.97 90 days 18.10 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Calbee to move over $ 18.10  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Calbee Inc probability density function shows the probability of Calbee Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Calbee Inc price to stay between its current price of $ 4.97  and $ 18.10  at the end of the 90-day period is about 88.31 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Calbee has a beta of 0.29 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Calbee average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Calbee Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Calbee Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Calbee Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Calbee

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Calbee Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Calbee's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.724.979.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.164.418.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.244.498.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.985.295.60
Details

Calbee Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Calbee is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Calbee's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Calbee Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Calbee within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.29
σ
Overall volatility
0.42
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Calbee Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Calbee for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Calbee Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Calbee Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Calbee Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance

Calbee Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Calbee Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Calbee's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Calbee's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding534.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments59 B

Calbee Technical Analysis

Calbee's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Calbee Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Calbee Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Calbee Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Calbee Predictive Forecast Models

Calbee's time-series forecasting models is one of many Calbee's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Calbee's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Calbee Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Calbee for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Calbee Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Calbee Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Calbee Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance

Additional Tools for Calbee Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Calbee's price analysis, check to measure Calbee's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Calbee is operating at the current time. Most of Calbee's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Calbee's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Calbee's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Calbee to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.