Comerica Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 71.72
| CMA Stock | USD 72.32 0.32 0.44% |
Comerica |
Comerica Target Price Odds to finish over 71.72
The tendency of Comerica Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 71.72 in 90 days |
| 72.32 | 90 days | 71.72 | roughly 2.69 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Comerica to stay above $ 71.72 in 90 days from now is roughly 2.69 (This Comerica probability density function shows the probability of Comerica Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Comerica price to stay between $ 71.72 and its current price of $72.32 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.95 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Comerica will likely underperform. Additionally Comerica has an alpha of 0.1748, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Comerica Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Comerica
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Comerica. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Comerica Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Comerica is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Comerica's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Comerica, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Comerica within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.95 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
Comerica Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Comerica for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Comerica can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Comerica has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 88.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 1st of October 2024 Comerica paid $ 0.71 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from prnewswire.com: The CMA CGM Foundation and the Salvation Army partner to distribute over 500,000 meals |
Comerica Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Comerica Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Comerica's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Comerica's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 133 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 9.5 B |
Comerica Technical Analysis
Comerica's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Comerica Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Comerica. In general, you should focus on analyzing Comerica Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Comerica Predictive Forecast Models
Comerica's time-series forecasting models is one of many Comerica's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Comerica's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Comerica
Checking the ongoing alerts about Comerica for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Comerica help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Comerica has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 88.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 1st of October 2024 Comerica paid $ 0.71 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from prnewswire.com: The CMA CGM Foundation and the Salvation Army partner to distribute over 500,000 meals |
Check out Comerica Backtesting, Comerica Valuation, Comerica Correlation, Comerica Hype Analysis, Comerica Volatility, Comerica History as well as Comerica Performance. For information on how to trade Comerica Stock refer to our How to Trade Comerica Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Comerica. If investors know Comerica will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Comerica listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.28) | Dividend Share 2.84 | Earnings Share 4 | Revenue Per Share 23.812 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.1) |
The market value of Comerica is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Comerica that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Comerica's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Comerica's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Comerica's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Comerica's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Comerica's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Comerica is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Comerica's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.