Comerica Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 62.81 64.98 79.55 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 70.13 72.29 74.46 Details

24 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 45.55 50.05 55.56 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High 1.26 1.25 1.39 Details

Comerica After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Comerica Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Comerica Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.42	2.18	0.58	0.12	9 Events / Month	6 Events / Month	In about 9 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
72.32	71.72	0.83	156.83   Notes

Comerica Hype Timeline

On the 28th of November Comerica is traded for 72.32. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.58, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.12. Comerica is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 71.72. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 156.83%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.83%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.42%. The volatility of related hype on Comerica is about 775.8%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 72.20. About 88.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.37. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Comerica has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.32. The entity last dividend was issued on the 13th of December 2024. The firm had 3:2 split on the 2nd of April 1998. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Comerica Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Comerica Stock refer to our How to Trade Comerica Stock guide.

Comerica Related Hype Analysis

Comerica Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Comerica price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Comerica using various technical indicators. When you analyze Comerica charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of Comerica stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Comerica, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Comerica based on analysis of Comerica hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for Comerica depends on current market conditions and Comerica's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Comerica is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Comerica's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Comerica's future price predictability will typically decrease when Comerica's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Comerica often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Comerica's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Comerica's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

When running Comerica's price analysis, check to measure Comerica's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Comerica is operating at the current time. Most of Comerica's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Comerica's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Comerica's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Comerica to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.