Columbia Moderate 529 Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 32.19

CMCGX Fund  USD 32.52  0.08  0.25%   
Columbia Moderate's future price is the expected price of Columbia Moderate instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Columbia Moderate 529 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Columbia Moderate Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Columbia Moderate Correlation, Columbia Moderate Hype Analysis, Columbia Moderate Volatility, Columbia Moderate History as well as Columbia Moderate Performance.
  
Please specify Columbia Moderate's target price for which you would like Columbia Moderate odds to be computed.

Columbia Moderate Target Price Odds to finish over 32.19

The tendency of Columbia Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 32.19  in 90 days
 32.52 90 days 32.19 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Columbia Moderate to stay above $ 32.19  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Columbia Moderate 529 probability density function shows the probability of Columbia Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Columbia Moderate 529 price to stay between $ 32.19  and its current price of $32.52 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.11 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Columbia Moderate has a beta of 0.0818 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Columbia Moderate average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Columbia Moderate 529 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Columbia Moderate 529 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Columbia Moderate Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Columbia Moderate

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Columbia Moderate 529. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
32.0832.5232.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
32.2132.6533.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
31.4431.8832.32
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
32.6033.3234.03
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Columbia Moderate. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Columbia Moderate's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Columbia Moderate's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Columbia Moderate 529.

Columbia Moderate Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Columbia Moderate is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Columbia Moderate's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Columbia Moderate 529, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Columbia Moderate within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.32
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Columbia Moderate Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Columbia Moderate for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Columbia Moderate 529 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Columbia Moderate generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Columbia Moderate Technical Analysis

Columbia Moderate's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Columbia Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Columbia Moderate 529. In general, you should focus on analyzing Columbia Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Columbia Moderate Predictive Forecast Models

Columbia Moderate's time-series forecasting models is one of many Columbia Moderate's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Columbia Moderate's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Columbia Moderate 529

Checking the ongoing alerts about Columbia Moderate for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Columbia Moderate 529 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Columbia Moderate generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Columbia Mutual Fund

Columbia Moderate financial ratios help investors to determine whether Columbia Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Columbia with respect to the benefits of owning Columbia Moderate security.
Portfolio Diagnostics
Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings
Bonds Directory
Find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies
Portfolio Holdings
Check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing
Investing Opportunities
Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences