Centrica PLC (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 124.47
| CNA Stock | 131.85 2.85 2.21% |
Centrica |
Centrica PLC Target Price Odds to finish below 124.47
The tendency of Centrica Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 124.47 or more in 90 days |
| 131.85 | 90 days | 124.47 | about 58.43 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Centrica PLC to drop to 124.47 or more in 90 days from now is about 58.43 (This Centrica PLC probability density function shows the probability of Centrica Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Centrica PLC price to stay between 124.47 and its current price of 131.85 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.65 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 95.0 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Centrica PLC will likely underperform. In addition to that Centrica PLC has an alpha of 145.1522, implying that it can generate a 145.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Centrica PLC Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Centrica PLC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Centrica PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Centrica PLC Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Centrica PLC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Centrica PLC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Centrica PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Centrica PLC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 145.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 95.00 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 15.87 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Centrica PLC Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Centrica PLC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Centrica PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Centrica PLC is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Centrica PLC appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| On 14th of November 2024 Centrica PLC paid 0.015 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Centrica Advances Share Buyback Program with Latest Purchase - TipRanks |
Centrica PLC Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Centrica Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Centrica PLC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Centrica PLC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.7 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.8 B |
Centrica PLC Technical Analysis
Centrica PLC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Centrica Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Centrica PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Centrica Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Centrica PLC Predictive Forecast Models
Centrica PLC's time-series forecasting models is one of many Centrica PLC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Centrica PLC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Centrica PLC
Checking the ongoing alerts about Centrica PLC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Centrica PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Centrica PLC is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Centrica PLC appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| On 14th of November 2024 Centrica PLC paid 0.015 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Centrica Advances Share Buyback Program with Latest Purchase - TipRanks |
Other Information on Investing in Centrica Stock
Centrica PLC financial ratios help investors to determine whether Centrica Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Centrica with respect to the benefits of owning Centrica PLC security.