Commercial Credit (Sri Lanka) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 44.52
| COCRN0000 | LKR 47.40 0.90 1.94% |
Commercial |
Commercial Credit Target Price Odds to finish over 44.52
The tendency of Commercial Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 44.52 in 90 days |
| 47.40 | 90 days | 44.52 | about 16.47 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Commercial Credit to stay above 44.52 in 90 days from now is about 16.47 (This Commercial Credit and probability density function shows the probability of Commercial Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Commercial Credit price to stay between 44.52 and its current price of 47.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.01 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Commercial Credit has a beta of 0.2 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Commercial Credit average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Commercial Credit and will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Commercial Credit and has an alpha of 0.6326, implying that it can generate a 0.63 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Commercial Credit Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Commercial Credit
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Commercial Credit. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Commercial Credit Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Commercial Credit is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Commercial Credit's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Commercial Credit and, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Commercial Credit within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.63 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.27 |
Commercial Credit Technical Analysis
Commercial Credit's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Commercial Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Commercial Credit and. In general, you should focus on analyzing Commercial Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Commercial Credit Predictive Forecast Models
Commercial Credit's time-series forecasting models is one of many Commercial Credit's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Commercial Credit's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Commercial Credit in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Commercial Credit's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Commercial Credit options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Commercial Stock
Commercial Credit financial ratios help investors to determine whether Commercial Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Commercial with respect to the benefits of owning Commercial Credit security.