Compass Diversified Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Over 22.72

CODI-PA Preferred Stock  USD 22.72  0.02  0.09%   
Compass Diversified's future price is the expected price of Compass Diversified instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Compass Diversified performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Compass Diversified Backtesting, Compass Diversified Valuation, Compass Diversified Correlation, Compass Diversified Hype Analysis, Compass Diversified Volatility, Compass Diversified History as well as Compass Diversified Performance.
  
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Compass Diversified Target Price Odds to finish over 22.72

The tendency of Compass Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 22.72 90 days 22.72 
more than 93.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Compass Diversified to move above the current price in 90 days from now is more than 93.0 (This Compass Diversified probability density function shows the probability of Compass Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Compass Diversified has a beta of 0.14 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Compass Diversified average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Compass Diversified will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Compass Diversified has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Compass Diversified Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Compass Diversified

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Compass Diversified. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.1122.7223.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.5023.1123.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.6822.2922.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.0522.8224.59
Details

Compass Diversified Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Compass Diversified is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Compass Diversified's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Compass Diversified, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Compass Diversified within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.14
σ
Overall volatility
0.53
Ir
Information ratio -0.22

Compass Diversified Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Compass Diversified for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Compass Diversified can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Compass Diversified generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Compass Diversified has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Latest headline from bnnbloomberg.ca: Mexico Slaps 36 percent Tariff on Vietnam Steel Wire on Alleged Dumping

Compass Diversified Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Compass Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Compass Diversified's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Compass Diversified's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding49 M
Cash And Short Term Investments157.1 M

Compass Diversified Technical Analysis

Compass Diversified's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Compass Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Compass Diversified. In general, you should focus on analyzing Compass Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Compass Diversified Predictive Forecast Models

Compass Diversified's time-series forecasting models is one of many Compass Diversified's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Compass Diversified's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Compass Diversified

Checking the ongoing alerts about Compass Diversified for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Compass Diversified help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Compass Diversified generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Compass Diversified has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Latest headline from bnnbloomberg.ca: Mexico Slaps 36 percent Tariff on Vietnam Steel Wire on Alleged Dumping

Other Information on Investing in Compass Preferred Stock

Compass Diversified financial ratios help investors to determine whether Compass Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Compass with respect to the benefits of owning Compass Diversified security.