Copley Fund Inc Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 179.22

COPLX Fund  USD 181.32  1.82  1.01%   
Copley Fund's future price is the expected price of Copley Fund instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Copley Fund Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Copley Fund Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Copley Fund Correlation, Copley Fund Hype Analysis, Copley Fund Volatility, Copley Fund History as well as Copley Fund Performance.
  
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Copley Fund Target Price Odds to finish below 179.22

The tendency of Copley Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 179.22  or more in 90 days
 181.32 90 days 179.22 
about 46.84
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Copley Fund to drop to $ 179.22  or more in 90 days from now is about 46.84 (This Copley Fund Inc probability density function shows the probability of Copley Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Copley Fund price to stay between $ 179.22  and its current price of $181.32 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.16 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Copley Fund has a beta of 0.8 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Copley Fund average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Copley Fund Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Copley Fund Inc has an alpha of 0.0399, implying that it can generate a 0.0399 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Copley Fund Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Copley Fund

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Copley Fund. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
180.62181.32182.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
163.19182.85183.55
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
177.25177.95178.65
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
179.10184.07189.04
Details

Copley Fund Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Copley Fund is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Copley Fund's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Copley Fund Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Copley Fund within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.80
σ
Overall volatility
4.79
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Copley Fund Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Copley Fund for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Copley Fund can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 6.66% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Copley Fund Technical Analysis

Copley Fund's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Copley Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Copley Fund Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Copley Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Copley Fund Predictive Forecast Models

Copley Fund's time-series forecasting models is one of many Copley Fund's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Copley Fund's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Copley Fund

Checking the ongoing alerts about Copley Fund for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Copley Fund help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 6.66% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in Copley Mutual Fund

Copley Fund financial ratios help investors to determine whether Copley Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Copley with respect to the benefits of owning Copley Fund security.
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