City Union (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 149.84
| CUB Stock | 174.55 0.87 0.50% |
City |
City Union Target Price Odds to finish below 149.84
The tendency of City Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 149.84 or more in 90 days |
| 174.55 | 90 days | 149.84 | about 1.69 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of City Union to drop to 149.84 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.69 (This City Union Bank probability density function shows the probability of City Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of City Union Bank price to stay between 149.84 and its current price of 174.55 at the end of the 90-day period is about 60.08 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon City Union has a beta of 0.0038 suggesting as returns on the market go up, City Union average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding City Union Bank will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally City Union Bank has an alpha of 0.0651, implying that it can generate a 0.0651 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). City Union Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for City Union
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as City Union Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.City Union Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. City Union is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the City Union's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold City Union Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of City Union within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 10.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
City Union Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of City Union for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for City Union Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| City Union Bank is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: City Union Bank Ltd spurts 0.52, up for fifth straight session - Business Standard |
City Union Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of City Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential City Union's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. City Union's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 746 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 33 B |
City Union Technical Analysis
City Union's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. City Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of City Union Bank. In general, you should focus on analyzing City Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
City Union Predictive Forecast Models
City Union's time-series forecasting models is one of many City Union's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary City Union's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about City Union Bank
Checking the ongoing alerts about City Union for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for City Union Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| City Union Bank is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: City Union Bank Ltd spurts 0.52, up for fifth straight session - Business Standard |
Other Information on Investing in City Stock
City Union financial ratios help investors to determine whether City Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in City with respect to the benefits of owning City Union security.