Calavo Growers Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 25.42
| CVGW Stock | USD 25.50 0.08 0.31% |
Calavo |
Calavo Growers Target Price Odds to finish over 25.42
The tendency of Calavo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 25.42 in 90 days |
| 25.50 | 90 days | 25.42 | roughly 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Calavo Growers to stay above $ 25.42 in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This Calavo Growers probability density function shows the probability of Calavo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Calavo Growers price to stay between $ 25.42 and its current price of $25.5 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Calavo Growers has a beta of 0.48 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Calavo Growers average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Calavo Growers will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Calavo Growers has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Calavo Growers Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Calavo Growers
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Calavo Growers. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Calavo Growers Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Calavo Growers is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Calavo Growers' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Calavo Growers, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Calavo Growers within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.48 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Calavo Growers Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Calavo Growers for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Calavo Growers can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Calavo Growers generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 971.95 M. Net Loss for the year was (7.97 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 73.84 M. | |
| Calavo Growers currently holds about 2.5 M in cash with (14.47 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.14. | |
| Calavo Growers has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 73.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Is Calavo Growers, Inc. Trading At A 42 percent Discount |
Calavo Growers Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Calavo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Calavo Growers' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Calavo Growers' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 17.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.1 M |
Calavo Growers Technical Analysis
Calavo Growers' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Calavo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Calavo Growers. In general, you should focus on analyzing Calavo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Calavo Growers Predictive Forecast Models
Calavo Growers' time-series forecasting models is one of many Calavo Growers' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Calavo Growers' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Calavo Growers
Checking the ongoing alerts about Calavo Growers for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Calavo Growers help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Calavo Growers generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 971.95 M. Net Loss for the year was (7.97 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 73.84 M. | |
| Calavo Growers currently holds about 2.5 M in cash with (14.47 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.14. | |
| Calavo Growers has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 73.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Is Calavo Growers, Inc. Trading At A 42 percent Discount |
Additional Tools for Calavo Stock Analysis
When running Calavo Growers' price analysis, check to measure Calavo Growers' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Calavo Growers is operating at the current time. Most of Calavo Growers' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Calavo Growers' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Calavo Growers' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Calavo Growers to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.