Zacks All Cap Core Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 29.21

CZOVX Fund  USD 30.76  0.10  0.33%   
Zacks All's future price is the expected price of Zacks All instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Zacks All Cap Core performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Zacks All Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Zacks All Correlation, Zacks All Hype Analysis, Zacks All Volatility, Zacks All History as well as Zacks All Performance.
  
Please specify Zacks All's target price for which you would like Zacks All odds to be computed.

Zacks All Target Price Odds to finish below 29.21

The tendency of Zacks Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 29.21  or more in 90 days
 30.76 90 days 29.21 
about 20.89
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Zacks All to drop to $ 29.21  or more in 90 days from now is about 20.89 (This Zacks All Cap Core probability density function shows the probability of Zacks Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Zacks All Cap price to stay between $ 29.21  and its current price of $30.76 at the end of the 90-day period is about 66.04 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Zacks All has a beta of 0.0928 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Zacks All average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Zacks All Cap Core will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Zacks All Cap Core has an alpha of 0.1161, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Zacks All Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Zacks All

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zacks All Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Zacks All's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.0930.7631.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.9330.6031.27
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
29.6830.3531.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
29.7330.6231.50
Details

Zacks All Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Zacks All is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Zacks All's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Zacks All Cap Core, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Zacks All within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.80
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Zacks All Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Zacks All for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Zacks All Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 97.09% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Zacks All Technical Analysis

Zacks All's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Zacks Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Zacks All Cap Core. In general, you should focus on analyzing Zacks Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Zacks All Predictive Forecast Models

Zacks All's time-series forecasting models is one of many Zacks All's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Zacks All's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Zacks All Cap

Checking the ongoing alerts about Zacks All for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Zacks All Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 97.09% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Zacks Mutual Fund

Zacks All financial ratios help investors to determine whether Zacks Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Zacks with respect to the benefits of owning Zacks All security.
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