DGB Group (Netherlands) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.51
| DGB Stock | EUR 0.84 0.01 1.18% |
DGB |
DGB Group Target Price Odds to finish over 0.51
The tendency of DGB Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 0.51 in 90 days |
| 0.84 | 90 days | 0.51 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of DGB Group to stay above € 0.51 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This DGB Group NV probability density function shows the probability of DGB Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of DGB Group NV price to stay between € 0.51 and its current price of €0.84 at the end of the 90-day period is about 84.35 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon DGB Group has a beta of 0.15 suggesting as returns on the market go up, DGB Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding DGB Group NV will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally DGB Group NV has an alpha of 0.3326, implying that it can generate a 0.33 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). DGB Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for DGB Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DGB Group NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.DGB Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. DGB Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the DGB Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold DGB Group NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of DGB Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.33 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
DGB Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of DGB Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for DGB Group NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| DGB Group NV has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| DGB Group NV had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Net Loss for the year was (1.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.69 M. | |
| DGB Group NV has accumulated about 244 K in cash with (986 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03. |
DGB Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of DGB Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential DGB Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. DGB Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.1 M |
DGB Group Technical Analysis
DGB Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. DGB Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of DGB Group NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing DGB Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
DGB Group Predictive Forecast Models
DGB Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many DGB Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary DGB Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about DGB Group NV
Checking the ongoing alerts about DGB Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for DGB Group NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| DGB Group NV has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| DGB Group NV had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Net Loss for the year was (1.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.69 M. | |
| DGB Group NV has accumulated about 244 K in cash with (986 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03. |
Additional Tools for DGB Stock Analysis
When running DGB Group's price analysis, check to measure DGB Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy DGB Group is operating at the current time. Most of DGB Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of DGB Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move DGB Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of DGB Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.