Dolphin Entertainment Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.11
| DLPN Stock | USD 1.07 0.02 1.90% |
Dolphin |
Dolphin Entertainment Target Price Odds to finish below 1.11
The tendency of Dolphin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 1.11 after 90 days |
| 1.07 | 90 days | 1.11 | about 13.68 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dolphin Entertainment to stay under $ 1.11 after 90 days from now is about 13.68 (This Dolphin Entertainment probability density function shows the probability of Dolphin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dolphin Entertainment price to stay between its current price of $ 1.07 and $ 1.11 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.47 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Dolphin Entertainment has a beta of 0.75 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Dolphin Entertainment average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Dolphin Entertainment will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Dolphin Entertainment has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Dolphin Entertainment Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Dolphin Entertainment
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dolphin Entertainment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Dolphin Entertainment Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dolphin Entertainment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dolphin Entertainment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dolphin Entertainment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dolphin Entertainment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.26 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.75 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Dolphin Entertainment Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dolphin Entertainment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dolphin Entertainment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Dolphin Entertainment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Dolphin Entertainment has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Dolphin Entertainment has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Dolphin Entertainment has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 43.12 M. Net Loss for the year was (24.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 32.14 M. | |
| Dolphin Entertainment currently holds about 7.19 M in cash with (4.62 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.74. | |
| Dolphin Entertainment has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 38.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from newswire.com: Dolphin Set to Launch Shareholder Loyalty Program to Engage and Reward Retail Investors |
Dolphin Entertainment Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dolphin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dolphin Entertainment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dolphin Entertainment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.6 M |
Dolphin Entertainment Technical Analysis
Dolphin Entertainment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dolphin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dolphin Entertainment. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dolphin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Dolphin Entertainment Predictive Forecast Models
Dolphin Entertainment's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dolphin Entertainment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dolphin Entertainment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Dolphin Entertainment
Checking the ongoing alerts about Dolphin Entertainment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dolphin Entertainment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Dolphin Entertainment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Dolphin Entertainment has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Dolphin Entertainment has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Dolphin Entertainment has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 43.12 M. Net Loss for the year was (24.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 32.14 M. | |
| Dolphin Entertainment currently holds about 7.19 M in cash with (4.62 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.74. | |
| Dolphin Entertainment has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 38.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from newswire.com: Dolphin Set to Launch Shareholder Loyalty Program to Engage and Reward Retail Investors |
Check out Dolphin Entertainment Backtesting, Dolphin Entertainment Valuation, Dolphin Entertainment Correlation, Dolphin Entertainment Hype Analysis, Dolphin Entertainment Volatility, Dolphin Entertainment History as well as Dolphin Entertainment Performance. To learn how to invest in Dolphin Stock, please use our How to Invest in Dolphin Entertainment guide.You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Is Movies & Entertainment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Dolphin Entertainment. If investors know Dolphin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Dolphin Entertainment listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.70) | Earnings Share (3.30) | Revenue Per Share 5.61 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.038 | Return On Assets (0.03) |
The market value of Dolphin Entertainment is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Dolphin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Dolphin Entertainment's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Dolphin Entertainment's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Dolphin Entertainment's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Dolphin Entertainment's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Dolphin Entertainment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dolphin Entertainment is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dolphin Entertainment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.