Democracy International Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 28.33
| DMCY Etf | USD 25.59 0.07 0.27% |
Democracy |
Democracy International Target Price Odds to finish over 28.33
The tendency of Democracy Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 28.33 or more in 90 days |
| 25.59 | 90 days | 28.33 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Democracy International to move over $ 28.33 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Democracy International probability density function shows the probability of Democracy Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Democracy International price to stay between its current price of $ 25.59 and $ 28.33 at the end of the 90-day period is about 92.17 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Democracy International has a beta of 0.38 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Democracy International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Democracy International will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Democracy International has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Democracy International Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Democracy International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Democracy International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Democracy International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Democracy International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Democracy International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Democracy International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Democracy International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Democracy International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.55 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.25 |
Democracy International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Democracy International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Democracy International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Democracy International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Democracy International Fund Trading Down 0.1 percent Whats Next | |
| The fund retains 98.67% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Democracy International Technical Analysis
Democracy International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Democracy Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Democracy International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Democracy Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Democracy International Predictive Forecast Models
Democracy International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Democracy International's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Democracy International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Democracy International
Checking the ongoing alerts about Democracy International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Democracy International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Democracy International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Democracy International Fund Trading Down 0.1 percent Whats Next | |
| The fund retains 98.67% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Check out Democracy International Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Democracy International Correlation, Democracy International Hype Analysis, Democracy International Volatility, Democracy International History as well as Democracy International Performance. You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
The market value of Democracy International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Democracy that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Democracy International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Democracy International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Democracy International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Democracy International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Democracy International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Democracy International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Democracy International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.