Dunham International Opportunity Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 7.90

DNIOX Fund  USD 7.90  0.01  0.13%   
Dunham International's future price is the expected price of Dunham International instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Dunham International Opportunity performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Dunham International Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Dunham International Correlation, Dunham International Hype Analysis, Dunham International Volatility, Dunham International History as well as Dunham International Performance.
  
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Dunham International Target Price Odds to finish over 7.90

The tendency of Dunham Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 7.90 90 days 7.90 
about 75.18
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dunham International to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 75.18 (This Dunham International Opportunity probability density function shows the probability of Dunham Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Dunham International has a beta of 0.039 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Dunham International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Dunham International Opportunity will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Dunham International Opportunity has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Dunham International Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dunham International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dunham International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.737.908.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.747.918.08
Details

Dunham International Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dunham International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dunham International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dunham International Opportunity, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dunham International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

Dunham International Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dunham International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dunham International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dunham International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund retains about 8.02% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Dunham International Technical Analysis

Dunham International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dunham Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dunham International Opportunity. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dunham Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Dunham International Predictive Forecast Models

Dunham International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dunham International's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dunham International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Dunham International

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dunham International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dunham International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dunham International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund retains about 8.02% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in Dunham Mutual Fund

Dunham International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dunham Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dunham with respect to the benefits of owning Dunham International security.
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