Dogan Sirketler (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 16.63

DOHOL Stock  TRY 15.12  0.25  1.68%   
Dogan Sirketler's future price is the expected price of Dogan Sirketler instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Dogan Sirketler Grubu performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Dogan Sirketler Backtesting, Dogan Sirketler Valuation, Dogan Sirketler Correlation, Dogan Sirketler Hype Analysis, Dogan Sirketler Volatility, Dogan Sirketler History as well as Dogan Sirketler Performance.
  
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Dogan Sirketler Target Price Odds to finish over 16.63

The tendency of Dogan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  16.63  or more in 90 days
 15.12 90 days 16.63 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dogan Sirketler to move over  16.63  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Dogan Sirketler Grubu probability density function shows the probability of Dogan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dogan Sirketler Grubu price to stay between its current price of  15.12  and  16.63  at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.65 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Dogan Sirketler has a beta of 0.29 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Dogan Sirketler average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Dogan Sirketler Grubu will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Dogan Sirketler Grubu has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Dogan Sirketler Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dogan Sirketler

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dogan Sirketler Grubu. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.1215.1217.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.2212.2216.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.9614.9516.95
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.4414.9815.53
Details

Dogan Sirketler Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dogan Sirketler is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dogan Sirketler's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dogan Sirketler Grubu, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dogan Sirketler within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0068
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.29
σ
Overall volatility
0.87
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Dogan Sirketler Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dogan Sirketler for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dogan Sirketler Grubu can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 58.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Dogan Sirketler Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dogan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dogan Sirketler's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dogan Sirketler's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.6 B

Dogan Sirketler Technical Analysis

Dogan Sirketler's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dogan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dogan Sirketler Grubu. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dogan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Dogan Sirketler Predictive Forecast Models

Dogan Sirketler's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dogan Sirketler's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dogan Sirketler's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Dogan Sirketler Grubu

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dogan Sirketler for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dogan Sirketler Grubu help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 58.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Dogan Stock

Dogan Sirketler financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dogan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dogan with respect to the benefits of owning Dogan Sirketler security.