Delta Dunia (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 633.08

DOID Stock  IDR 635.00  5.00  0.78%   
Delta Dunia's future price is the expected price of Delta Dunia instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Delta Dunia Makmur performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Delta Dunia Backtesting, Delta Dunia Valuation, Delta Dunia Correlation, Delta Dunia Hype Analysis, Delta Dunia Volatility, Delta Dunia History as well as Delta Dunia Performance.
  
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Delta Dunia Target Price Odds to finish below 633.08

The tendency of Delta Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  633.08  or more in 90 days
 635.00 90 days 633.08 
about 7.97
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Delta Dunia to drop to  633.08  or more in 90 days from now is about 7.97 (This Delta Dunia Makmur probability density function shows the probability of Delta Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Delta Dunia Makmur price to stay between  633.08  and its current price of 635.0 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Delta Dunia has a beta of 0.59 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Delta Dunia average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Delta Dunia Makmur will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Delta Dunia Makmur has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Delta Dunia Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Delta Dunia

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Delta Dunia Makmur. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
637.12640.00642.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
559.92562.80704.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
612.21615.09617.97
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
613.62668.21722.80
Details

Delta Dunia Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Delta Dunia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Delta Dunia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Delta Dunia Makmur, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Delta Dunia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.59
σ
Overall volatility
39.03
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Delta Dunia Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Delta Dunia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Delta Dunia Makmur can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Delta Dunia Makmur generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 44.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Delta Dunia Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Delta Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Delta Dunia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Delta Dunia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding8.6 B
Cash And Short Term Investments204.8 M

Delta Dunia Technical Analysis

Delta Dunia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Delta Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Delta Dunia Makmur. In general, you should focus on analyzing Delta Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Delta Dunia Predictive Forecast Models

Delta Dunia's time-series forecasting models is one of many Delta Dunia's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Delta Dunia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Delta Dunia Makmur

Checking the ongoing alerts about Delta Dunia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Delta Dunia Makmur help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Delta Dunia Makmur generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 44.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Delta Stock

Delta Dunia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Delta Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Delta with respect to the benefits of owning Delta Dunia security.