Dominos Pizza (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 302.2

DOM Stock   308.20  4.20  1.38%   
Dominos Pizza's future price is the expected price of Dominos Pizza instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Dominos Pizza Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Dominos Pizza Backtesting, Dominos Pizza Valuation, Dominos Pizza Correlation, Dominos Pizza Hype Analysis, Dominos Pizza Volatility, Dominos Pizza History as well as Dominos Pizza Performance.
For information on how to trade Dominos Stock refer to our How to Trade Dominos Stock guide.
  
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Dominos Pizza Target Price Odds to finish over 302.2

The tendency of Dominos Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  302.20  in 90 days
 308.20 90 days 302.20 
about 77.21
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dominos Pizza to stay above  302.20  in 90 days from now is about 77.21 (This Dominos Pizza Group probability density function shows the probability of Dominos Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dominos Pizza Group price to stay between  302.20  and its current price of 308.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.54 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Dominos Pizza has a beta of 0.36 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Dominos Pizza average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Dominos Pizza Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Dominos Pizza Group has an alpha of 0.0479, implying that it can generate a 0.0479 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Dominos Pizza Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dominos Pizza

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dominos Pizza Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
305.78307.62309.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
297.65299.49339.02
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
295.95297.79299.63
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.050.050.06
Details

Dominos Pizza Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dominos Pizza is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dominos Pizza's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dominos Pizza Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dominos Pizza within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.36
σ
Overall volatility
19.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.0054

Dominos Pizza Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dominos Pizza for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dominos Pizza Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 80.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Dominos Pizza, Inc. Shares Bought by Marshfield Associates - MarketBeat

Dominos Pizza Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dominos Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dominos Pizza's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dominos Pizza's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding412.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments52.1 M

Dominos Pizza Technical Analysis

Dominos Pizza's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dominos Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dominos Pizza Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dominos Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Dominos Pizza Predictive Forecast Models

Dominos Pizza's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dominos Pizza's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dominos Pizza's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Dominos Pizza Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dominos Pizza for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dominos Pizza Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 80.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Dominos Pizza, Inc. Shares Bought by Marshfield Associates - MarketBeat

Other Information on Investing in Dominos Stock

Dominos Pizza financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dominos Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dominos with respect to the benefits of owning Dominos Pizza security.