Keurig Dr (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 26.85
| DP5 Stock | EUR 30.87 0.10 0.32% |
Keurig |
Keurig Dr Target Price Odds to finish below 26.85
The tendency of Keurig Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 26.85 or more in 90 days |
| 30.87 | 90 days | 26.85 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Keurig Dr to drop to € 26.85 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Keurig Dr Pepper probability density function shows the probability of Keurig Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Keurig Dr Pepper price to stay between € 26.85 and its current price of €30.87 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.34 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Keurig Dr Pepper has a beta of -0.23 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Keurig Dr are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Keurig Dr Pepper is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Keurig Dr Pepper has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Keurig Dr Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Keurig Dr
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Keurig Dr Pepper. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Keurig Dr Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Keurig Dr is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Keurig Dr's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Keurig Dr Pepper, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Keurig Dr within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Keurig Dr Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Keurig Dr for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Keurig Dr Pepper can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Keurig Dr Pepper generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Keurig Dr Pepper has accumulated €11.07 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings | |
| Keurig Dr Pepper has accumulated 11.07 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 70.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Keurig Dr Pepper has a current ratio of 0.31, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Keurig Dr until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Keurig Dr's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Keurig Dr Pepper sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Keurig to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Keurig Dr's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 56.0% of Keurig Dr shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Keurig Dr Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Keurig Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Keurig Dr's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Keurig Dr's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 B |
Keurig Dr Technical Analysis
Keurig Dr's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Keurig Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Keurig Dr Pepper. In general, you should focus on analyzing Keurig Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Keurig Dr Predictive Forecast Models
Keurig Dr's time-series forecasting models is one of many Keurig Dr's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Keurig Dr's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Keurig Dr Pepper
Checking the ongoing alerts about Keurig Dr for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Keurig Dr Pepper help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Keurig Dr Pepper generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Keurig Dr Pepper has accumulated €11.07 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings | |
| Keurig Dr Pepper has accumulated 11.07 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 70.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Keurig Dr Pepper has a current ratio of 0.31, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Keurig Dr until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Keurig Dr's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Keurig Dr Pepper sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Keurig to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Keurig Dr's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 56.0% of Keurig Dr shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Keurig Stock
When determining whether Keurig Dr Pepper is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Keurig Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Keurig Dr Pepper Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Keurig Dr Pepper Stock:Check out Keurig Dr Backtesting, Keurig Dr Valuation, Keurig Dr Correlation, Keurig Dr Hype Analysis, Keurig Dr Volatility, Keurig Dr History as well as Keurig Dr Performance. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.