Deep Value (Norway) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.76

DVD Stock  NOK 15.48  0.04  0.26%   
Deep Value's future price is the expected price of Deep Value instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Deep Value Driller performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Deep Value Backtesting, Deep Value Valuation, Deep Value Correlation, Deep Value Hype Analysis, Deep Value Volatility, Deep Value History as well as Deep Value Performance.
  
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Deep Value Target Price Odds to finish below 11.76

The tendency of Deep Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  11.76  or more in 90 days
 15.48 90 days 11.76 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Deep Value to drop to  11.76  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Deep Value Driller probability density function shows the probability of Deep Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Deep Value Driller price to stay between  11.76  and its current price of 15.48 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.74 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Deep Value has a beta of 0.0372 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Deep Value average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Deep Value Driller will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Deep Value Driller has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Deep Value Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Deep Value

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Deep Value Driller. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.2815.4817.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.9314.1316.33
Details

Deep Value Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Deep Value is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Deep Value's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Deep Value Driller, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Deep Value within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.26
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.04
σ
Overall volatility
1.74
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Deep Value Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Deep Value for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Deep Value Driller can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Deep Value Driller generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Deep Value Driller has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 38.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Deep Value Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Deep Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Deep Value's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Deep Value's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Float54.7 M

Deep Value Technical Analysis

Deep Value's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Deep Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Deep Value Driller. In general, you should focus on analyzing Deep Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Deep Value Predictive Forecast Models

Deep Value's time-series forecasting models is one of many Deep Value's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Deep Value's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Deep Value Driller

Checking the ongoing alerts about Deep Value for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Deep Value Driller help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Deep Value Driller generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Deep Value Driller has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 38.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Deep Stock

Deep Value financial ratios help investors to determine whether Deep Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Deep with respect to the benefits of owning Deep Value security.