Easterly Government (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.44
| E05 Stock | EUR 10.67 0.18 1.72% |
Easterly |
Easterly Government Target Price Odds to finish below 5.44
The tendency of Easterly Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 5.44 or more in 90 days |
| 10.67 | 90 days | 5.44 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Easterly Government to drop to € 5.44 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Easterly Government Properties probability density function shows the probability of Easterly Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Easterly Government price to stay between € 5.44 and its current price of €10.67 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.12 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Easterly Government has a beta of 0.44 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Easterly Government average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Easterly Government Properties will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Easterly Government Properties has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Easterly Government Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Easterly Government
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Easterly Government. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Easterly Government Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Easterly Government is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Easterly Government's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Easterly Government Properties, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Easterly Government within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.44 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.53 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Easterly Government Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Easterly Government for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Easterly Government can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Easterly Government generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Easterly Government has accumulated €1.25 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings |
Easterly Government Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Easterly Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Easterly Government's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Easterly Government's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 90.8 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 109.2 M |
Easterly Government Technical Analysis
Easterly Government's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Easterly Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Easterly Government Properties. In general, you should focus on analyzing Easterly Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Easterly Government Predictive Forecast Models
Easterly Government's time-series forecasting models is one of many Easterly Government's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Easterly Government's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Easterly Government
Checking the ongoing alerts about Easterly Government for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Easterly Government help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Easterly Government generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Easterly Government has accumulated €1.25 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings |
Other Information on Investing in Easterly Stock
Easterly Government financial ratios help investors to determine whether Easterly Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Easterly with respect to the benefits of owning Easterly Government security.