Eurocommercial Properties (Netherlands) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 17.22

ECMPA Stock  EUR 22.45  0.25  1.13%   
Eurocommercial Properties' future price is the expected price of Eurocommercial Properties instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Eurocommercial Properties NV performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Eurocommercial Properties Backtesting, Eurocommercial Properties Valuation, Eurocommercial Properties Correlation, Eurocommercial Properties Hype Analysis, Eurocommercial Properties Volatility, Eurocommercial Properties History as well as Eurocommercial Properties Performance.
  
Please specify Eurocommercial Properties' target price for which you would like Eurocommercial Properties odds to be computed.

Eurocommercial Properties Target Price Odds to finish below 17.22

The tendency of Eurocommercial Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 17.22  or more in 90 days
 22.45 90 days 17.22 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Eurocommercial Properties to drop to € 17.22  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Eurocommercial Properties NV probability density function shows the probability of Eurocommercial Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Eurocommercial Properties price to stay between € 17.22  and its current price of €22.45 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.51 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Eurocommercial Properties has a beta of 0.15 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Eurocommercial Properties average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Eurocommercial Properties NV will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Eurocommercial Properties NV has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Eurocommercial Properties Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Eurocommercial Properties

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eurocommercial Properties. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.4422.4523.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.0723.0724.09
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Eurocommercial Properties. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Eurocommercial Properties' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Eurocommercial Properties' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Eurocommercial Properties.

Eurocommercial Properties Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Eurocommercial Properties is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Eurocommercial Properties' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Eurocommercial Properties NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Eurocommercial Properties within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.15
σ
Overall volatility
0.89
Ir
Information ratio -0.25

Eurocommercial Properties Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Eurocommercial Properties for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Eurocommercial Properties can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Eurocommercial Properties generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Eurocommercial Properties NV has accumulated 1.43 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.09, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Eurocommercial Properties has a current ratio of 0.48, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Eurocommercial Properties until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Eurocommercial Properties' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Eurocommercial Properties sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Eurocommercial to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Eurocommercial Properties' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 22.0% of Eurocommercial Properties shares are held by company insiders

Eurocommercial Properties Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Eurocommercial Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Eurocommercial Properties' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Eurocommercial Properties' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding52.8 M

Eurocommercial Properties Technical Analysis

Eurocommercial Properties' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Eurocommercial Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Eurocommercial Properties NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Eurocommercial Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Eurocommercial Properties Predictive Forecast Models

Eurocommercial Properties' time-series forecasting models is one of many Eurocommercial Properties' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Eurocommercial Properties' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Eurocommercial Properties

Checking the ongoing alerts about Eurocommercial Properties for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Eurocommercial Properties help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Eurocommercial Properties generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Eurocommercial Properties NV has accumulated 1.43 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.09, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Eurocommercial Properties has a current ratio of 0.48, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Eurocommercial Properties until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Eurocommercial Properties' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Eurocommercial Properties sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Eurocommercial to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Eurocommercial Properties' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 22.0% of Eurocommercial Properties shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Eurocommercial Stock

Eurocommercial Properties financial ratios help investors to determine whether Eurocommercial Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Eurocommercial with respect to the benefits of owning Eurocommercial Properties security.