EFU General (Pakistan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 131.19
| EFUG Stock | 126.02 3.98 3.06% |
EFU |
EFU General Target Price Odds to finish below 131.19
The tendency of EFU Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 131.19 after 90 days |
| 126.02 | 90 days | 131.19 | about 98.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of EFU General to stay under 131.19 after 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This EFU General Insurance probability density function shows the probability of EFU Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of EFU General Insurance price to stay between its current price of 126.02 and 131.19 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.9 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon EFU General Insurance has a beta of -0.35 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding EFU General are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, EFU General Insurance is likely to outperform the market. Additionally EFU General Insurance has an alpha of 0.6337, implying that it can generate a 0.63 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). EFU General Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for EFU General
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EFU General Insurance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.EFU General Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. EFU General is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the EFU General's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold EFU General Insurance, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of EFU General within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.63 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 15.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
EFU General Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of EFU General for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for EFU General Insurance can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| EFU General appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
EFU General Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of EFU Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential EFU General's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. EFU General's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 200 M | |
| Short Term Investments | 13.4 B |
EFU General Technical Analysis
EFU General's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. EFU Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of EFU General Insurance. In general, you should focus on analyzing EFU Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
EFU General Predictive Forecast Models
EFU General's time-series forecasting models is one of many EFU General's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary EFU General's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about EFU General Insurance
Checking the ongoing alerts about EFU General for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for EFU General Insurance help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| EFU General appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
Other Information on Investing in EFU Stock
EFU General financial ratios help investors to determine whether EFU Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in EFU with respect to the benefits of owning EFU General security.