EFU General (Pakistan) Price Prediction
| EFUG Stock | 130.00 7.25 5.28% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
80
Oversold | Overbought |
Using EFU General hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of EFU General Insurance from the perspective of EFU General response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in EFU General to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying EFU because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
EFU General after-hype prediction price | PKR 137.25 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
EFU |
EFU General After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of EFU General at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in EFU General or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of EFU General, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
EFU General Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting EFU General's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on EFU General's historical news coverage. EFU General's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 133.54 and 140.96, respectively. We have considered EFU General's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
EFU General is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of EFU General Insurance is based on 3 months time horizon.
EFU General Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as EFU General is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading EFU General backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with EFU General, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.69 | 3.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
130.00 | 137.25 | 0.00 |
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EFU General Hype Timeline
EFU General Insurance is currently traded for 130.00on Karachi Stock Exchange of Pakistan. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. EFU is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.69%. %. The volatility of related hype on EFU General is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 130.00. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out EFU General Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.EFU General Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to EFU General's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict EFU General's future price movements. Getting to know how EFU General's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how EFU General may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OGDC | Oil and Gas | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.43 | 0.24 | 4.28 | (2.36) | 14.55 | |
| PSO | Pakistan State Oil | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.80 | 0.33 | 5.78 | (2.02) | 14.05 | |
| PPL | Pakistan Petroleum | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.34 | 0.24 | 6.40 | (2.65) | 14.06 | |
| FFC | Fauji Fertilizer | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.92 | 0.29 | 7.00 | (2.42) | 14.17 | |
| HBL | Habib Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.10 | 0.22 | 6.70 | (2.27) | 11.38 | |
| MARI | Mari Petroleum | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.33 | 0.15 | 7.07 | (2.55) | 59.96 | |
| MCB | MCB Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.29 | 0.17 | 4.15 | (2.54) | 10.84 | |
| UBL | United Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.63 | 0.25 | 3.19 | (1.80) | 9.17 | |
| LUCK | Lucky Cement | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.32 | 0.14 | 3.48 | (2.26) | 9.52 | |
| NBP | National Bank of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.25 | 0.08 | 3.96 | (3.62) | 13.33 |
EFU General Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine EFU price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for EFU using various technical indicators. When you analyze EFU charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About EFU General Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of EFU General stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as EFU General Insurance, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of EFU General based on analysis of EFU General hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to EFU General's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to EFU General's related companies.
Story Coverage note for EFU General
The number of cover stories for EFU General depends on current market conditions and EFU General's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that EFU General is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about EFU General's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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EFU General Short Properties
EFU General's future price predictability will typically decrease when EFU General's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of EFU General Insurance often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential EFU General's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. EFU General's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 200 M | |
| Short Term Investments | 13.4 B |
Complementary Tools for EFU Stock analysis
When running EFU General's price analysis, check to measure EFU General's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy EFU General is operating at the current time. Most of EFU General's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of EFU General's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move EFU General's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of EFU General to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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