Electricity Generating (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 132.2

EGCO Stock  THB 121.50  2.00  1.62%   
Electricity Generating's future price is the expected price of Electricity Generating instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Electricity Generating Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Electricity Generating Backtesting, Electricity Generating Valuation, Electricity Generating Correlation, Electricity Generating Hype Analysis, Electricity Generating Volatility, Electricity Generating History as well as Electricity Generating Performance.
  
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Electricity Generating Target Price Odds to finish over 132.2

The tendency of Electricity Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  132.20  or more in 90 days
 121.50 90 days 132.20 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Electricity Generating to move over  132.20  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Electricity Generating Public probability density function shows the probability of Electricity Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Electricity Generating price to stay between its current price of  121.50  and  132.20  at the end of the 90-day period is about 41.57 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Electricity Generating has a beta of 0.31 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Electricity Generating average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Electricity Generating Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Electricity Generating Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Electricity Generating Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Electricity Generating

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Electricity Generating. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
120.25121.50122.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
119.13120.38121.63
Details

Electricity Generating Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Electricity Generating is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Electricity Generating's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Electricity Generating Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Electricity Generating within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.31
σ
Overall volatility
3.60
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Electricity Generating Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Electricity Generating for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Electricity Generating can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Electricity Generating generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Electricity Generating has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 61.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Electricity Generating Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Electricity Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Electricity Generating's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Electricity Generating's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding526.5 M

Electricity Generating Technical Analysis

Electricity Generating's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Electricity Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Electricity Generating Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Electricity Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Electricity Generating Predictive Forecast Models

Electricity Generating's time-series forecasting models is one of many Electricity Generating's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Electricity Generating's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Electricity Generating

Checking the ongoing alerts about Electricity Generating for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Electricity Generating help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Electricity Generating generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Electricity Generating has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 61.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Electricity Stock

Electricity Generating financial ratios help investors to determine whether Electricity Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Electricity with respect to the benefits of owning Electricity Generating security.