Electra Real (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4159.0
| ELCRE Stock | ILS 4,958 102.00 2.02% |
Electra |
Electra Real Target Price Odds to finish below 4159.0
The tendency of Electra Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to S 4,159 or more in 90 days |
| 4,958 | 90 days | 4,159 | about 45.23 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Electra Real to drop to S 4,159 or more in 90 days from now is about 45.23 (This Electra Real Estate probability density function shows the probability of Electra Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Electra Real Estate price to stay between S 4,159 and its current price of S4958.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 53.78 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Electra Real Estate has a beta of -0.0711 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Electra Real are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Electra Real Estate is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Electra Real Estate has an alpha of 0.359, implying that it can generate a 0.36 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Electra Real Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Electra Real
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Electra Real Estate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Electra Real's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Electra Real Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Electra Real is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Electra Real's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Electra Real Estate, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Electra Real within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.36 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 317.37 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
Electra Real Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Electra Real for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Electra Real Estate can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Electra Real Estate has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Electra Real Estate has accumulated 424.88 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 130.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Electra Real Estate has a current ratio of 0.93, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Electra Real until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Electra Real's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Electra Real Estate sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Electra to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Electra Real's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 60.0% of Electra Real shares are held by company insiders |
Electra Real Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Electra Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Electra Real's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Electra Real's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 56.9 M |
Electra Real Technical Analysis
Electra Real's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Electra Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Electra Real Estate. In general, you should focus on analyzing Electra Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Electra Real Predictive Forecast Models
Electra Real's time-series forecasting models is one of many Electra Real's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Electra Real's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Electra Real Estate
Checking the ongoing alerts about Electra Real for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Electra Real Estate help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Electra Real Estate has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Electra Real Estate has accumulated 424.88 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 130.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Electra Real Estate has a current ratio of 0.93, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Electra Real until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Electra Real's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Electra Real Estate sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Electra to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Electra Real's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 60.0% of Electra Real shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Electra Stock Analysis
When running Electra Real's price analysis, check to measure Electra Real's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Electra Real is operating at the current time. Most of Electra Real's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Electra Real's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Electra Real's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Electra Real to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.