Endesa Sa Adr Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 9.27

ELEZY Stock  USD 11.38  0.32  2.89%   
Endesa SA's future price is the expected price of Endesa SA instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Endesa SA ADR performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Endesa SA Backtesting, Endesa SA Valuation, Endesa SA Correlation, Endesa SA Hype Analysis, Endesa SA Volatility, Endesa SA History as well as Endesa SA Performance.
  
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Endesa SA Target Price Odds to finish below 9.27

The tendency of Endesa Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 9.27  or more in 90 days
 11.38 90 days 9.27 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Endesa SA to drop to $ 9.27  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Endesa SA ADR probability density function shows the probability of Endesa Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Endesa SA ADR price to stay between $ 9.27  and its current price of $11.38 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Endesa SA ADR has a beta of -0.12 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Endesa SA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Endesa SA ADR is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Endesa SA ADR has an alpha of 0.0887, implying that it can generate a 0.0887 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Endesa SA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Endesa SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Endesa SA ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.9411.4913.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.729.2712.31
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Endesa SA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Endesa SA's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Endesa SA's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Endesa SA ADR.

Endesa SA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Endesa SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Endesa SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Endesa SA ADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Endesa SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.12
σ
Overall volatility
0.27
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Endesa SA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Endesa SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Endesa SA ADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Endesa SA ADR has accumulated 6.35 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 3.33, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Endesa SA ADR has a current ratio of 0.86, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Endesa SA until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Endesa SA's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Endesa SA ADR sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Endesa to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Endesa SA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Endesa SA Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Endesa Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Endesa SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Endesa SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.1 B
Cash And Short Term Investments1.6 B

Endesa SA Technical Analysis

Endesa SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Endesa Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Endesa SA ADR. In general, you should focus on analyzing Endesa Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Endesa SA Predictive Forecast Models

Endesa SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many Endesa SA's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Endesa SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Endesa SA ADR

Checking the ongoing alerts about Endesa SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Endesa SA ADR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Endesa SA ADR has accumulated 6.35 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 3.33, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Endesa SA ADR has a current ratio of 0.86, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Endesa SA until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Endesa SA's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Endesa SA ADR sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Endesa to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Endesa SA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Additional Tools for Endesa Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Endesa SA's price analysis, check to measure Endesa SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Endesa SA is operating at the current time. Most of Endesa SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Endesa SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Endesa SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Endesa SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.