American Green Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.00

ERBB Stock  USD 0.0005  0.0001  16.67%   
American Green's future price is the expected price of American Green instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of American Green performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out American Green Backtesting, American Green Valuation, American Green Correlation, American Green Hype Analysis, American Green Volatility, American Green History as well as American Green Performance.
  
Please specify American Green's target price for which you would like American Green odds to be computed.

American Green Target Price Odds to finish below 0.00

The tendency of American Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.00  or more in 90 days
 0.0005 90 days 0.00 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of American Green to drop to $ 0.00  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This American Green probability density function shows the probability of American Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of American Green price to stay between $ 0.00  and its current price of $5.0E-4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 75.57 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days American Green has a beta of -0.45 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding American Green are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, American Green is likely to outperform the market. Moreover American Green has an alpha of 1.6883, implying that it can generate a 1.69 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   American Green Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for American Green

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Green. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000516.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000416.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.000010.000516.65
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.00050.00050.0005
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as American Green. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against American Green's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, American Green's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in American Green.

American Green Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. American Green is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the American Green's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold American Green, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of American Green within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.69
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.45
σ
Overall volatility
0.000075
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

American Green Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of American Green for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for American Green can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
American Green is way too risky over 90 days horizon
American Green has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
American Green appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
American Green currently holds 686.28 K in liabilities. American Green has a current ratio of 0.01, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist American Green until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, American Green's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like American Green sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for American to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about American Green's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 39.34 K. Net Loss for the year was (1.87 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 48.63 K.
American Green currently holds about 1.76 K in cash with (1.42 M) of positive cash flow from operations.

American Green Technical Analysis

American Green's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. American Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of American Green. In general, you should focus on analyzing American Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

American Green Predictive Forecast Models

American Green's time-series forecasting models is one of many American Green's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary American Green's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about American Green

Checking the ongoing alerts about American Green for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for American Green help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
American Green is way too risky over 90 days horizon
American Green has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
American Green appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
American Green currently holds 686.28 K in liabilities. American Green has a current ratio of 0.01, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist American Green until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, American Green's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like American Green sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for American to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about American Green's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 39.34 K. Net Loss for the year was (1.87 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 48.63 K.
American Green currently holds about 1.76 K in cash with (1.42 M) of positive cash flow from operations.

Other Information on Investing in American Pink Sheet

American Green financial ratios help investors to determine whether American Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in American with respect to the benefits of owning American Green security.