Legal General (Germany) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 111.55

ETLZ Etf  EUR 107.68  0.74  0.68%   
Legal General's future price is the expected price of Legal General instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Legal General UCITS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Legal General Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Legal General Correlation, Legal General Hype Analysis, Legal General Volatility, Legal General History as well as Legal General Performance.
  
Please specify Legal General's target price for which you would like Legal General odds to be computed.

Legal General Target Price Odds to finish below 111.55

The tendency of Legal Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under € 111.55  after 90 days
 107.68 90 days 111.55 
over 95.13
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Legal General to stay under € 111.55  after 90 days from now is over 95.13 (This Legal General UCITS probability density function shows the probability of Legal Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Legal General UCITS price to stay between its current price of € 107.68  and € 111.55  at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.31 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Legal General has a beta of 0.85 suggesting Legal General UCITS market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Legal General is expected to follow. Additionally Legal General UCITS has an alpha of 0.1696, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Legal General Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Legal General

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Legal General UCITS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
106.22107.68109.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
96.91115.89117.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
103.97105.43106.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
101.96107.64113.32
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Legal General. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Legal General's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Legal General's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Legal General UCITS.

Legal General Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Legal General is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Legal General's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Legal General UCITS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Legal General within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.85
σ
Overall volatility
6.12
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Legal General Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Legal General for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Legal General UCITS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains all of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Legal General Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Legal Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Legal General's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Legal General's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume In Three Month2

Legal General Technical Analysis

Legal General's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Legal Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Legal General UCITS. In general, you should focus on analyzing Legal Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Legal General Predictive Forecast Models

Legal General's time-series forecasting models is one of many Legal General's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Legal General's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Legal General UCITS

Checking the ongoing alerts about Legal General for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Legal General UCITS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains all of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Legal Etf

Legal General financial ratios help investors to determine whether Legal Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Legal with respect to the benefits of owning Legal General security.