Fastned BV (Netherlands) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 13.75

FAST Stock  EUR 21.50  0.30  1.38%   
Fastned BV's future price is the expected price of Fastned BV instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fastned BV performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fastned BV Backtesting, Fastned BV Valuation, Fastned BV Correlation, Fastned BV Hype Analysis, Fastned BV Volatility, Fastned BV History as well as Fastned BV Performance.
  
Please specify Fastned BV's target price for which you would like Fastned BV odds to be computed.

Fastned BV Target Price Odds to finish below 13.75

The tendency of Fastned Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 13.75  or more in 90 days
 21.50 90 days 13.75 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fastned BV to drop to € 13.75  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Fastned BV probability density function shows the probability of Fastned Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fastned BV price to stay between € 13.75  and its current price of €21.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 52.97 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Fastned BV has a beta of 0.64. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Fastned BV average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fastned BV will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Fastned BV has an alpha of 0.2503, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Fastned BV Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fastned BV

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fastned BV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.9521.5024.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.6423.1925.74
Details

Fastned BV Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fastned BV is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fastned BV's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fastned BV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fastned BV within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.25
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.64
σ
Overall volatility
1.33
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Fastned BV Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fastned BV for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fastned BV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 12.47 M. Net Loss for the year was (24.6 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 8.85 M.
Fastned BV has accumulated about 33.85 M in cash with (9.98 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.27.

Fastned BV Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fastned Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fastned BV's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fastned BV's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding16.9 M

Fastned BV Technical Analysis

Fastned BV's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fastned Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fastned BV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fastned Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fastned BV Predictive Forecast Models

Fastned BV's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fastned BV's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fastned BV's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fastned BV

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fastned BV for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fastned BV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 12.47 M. Net Loss for the year was (24.6 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 8.85 M.
Fastned BV has accumulated about 33.85 M in cash with (9.98 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.27.

Additional Tools for Fastned Stock Analysis

When running Fastned BV's price analysis, check to measure Fastned BV's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fastned BV is operating at the current time. Most of Fastned BV's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fastned BV's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fastned BV's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fastned BV to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.